MobilityLeaks: Sunk Costs
On 6/6/2011 4:14 PM, Murani Lewis wrote:
Chris in one of your comments you stated that you hoped for Windows Phone sake that iOS5’s announcement was a letdown. Where do you think just by the information and features shown today Mango stands against iOS5? I’m always curious of your take because you are clear that iOS and Apple is your platform of choice so you have a different take. It helps bring perspective to the conversation.
Leave ios5 in serious trouble. People are beginning to realize windows phone offer superior functionality in way it make sense most. They’re also beginning to realize Apple been selling them the same shit over and over again. Microsoft played their hand…and Apple didn’t match it….remeber this as the turning point.
Microsoft is crushing them all one by one. Operating systems…gaming consoles…search engines…and yes…mobile platforms.
Sent from my Windows Phone
O.o are we on the same planet?
No Ramon, YOU remember this as your moment of your height of self delusion about your stupid phone. Put this email in your OneNote. Because the way it’s funny to me now it will be especially funny, and maybe even to you if you can admit it, to you retrospectively.
Meanwhile, just in case you’re right, I’ll fire up the popcorn, kick back and watch the tables between Apple and Windows Phone get completely turned like you actually believe will happen.
I don’t get it Ramon, you seem vaguely intelligent, this email appears to be from you, ..
i hate to side with iChris here and I’ve read nothing about it yet but if iOS5 did nothing Microsoft would probably need 12-18 months to catch up to it…yes WP7 has features it doesn’t have but there are still a lot of missing features between iOS/Android and WP7 and the 500 new features works to close the gap but there’s definitely still a gap.
All this talk about features and Mango and you know what? Sales dry up this month, approaching attrition, market share headed south. It’s no longer just going up slower than before, it’s sinking.
Evidently, no one gives a shit about the number five hundred except for some people with a Samsung Focus in their hand.
Time for Microsoft to divest and do what they do best, rake in licensing fees.
I just don’t get why you use this opportunity to bring up sales numbers when we’re not talking about marketshare or sales clips. We’re simply talking about how does today’s release of iOS5 top features compare to the Mango features that have been covered.
To me Mango now clearly has features it can tout as differentiators. Every conversation from an Apple or Android fanboy always includes the question "what can windows phone do that either the iPhone or Android can’t." Today we see that for one Apple has no answer to the depth of integrated app support and no real answer to live tiles and the awesome groups feature. Nor did they mention anything that signified something more than an unified mail box.
12-18 months isn’t true DavidK, not necessarily at least. The major feature can always be closed significantly faster by 3rd party devs.
I’m truly torn between both. One big reason is the amount of money that I’ve spent on my iOS stuff and the number of friends that have an iPhone. But damn it would be nice to start creating apps for Windows Phone.
Think of the money invested as sunk costs. Never a good thing to let sunk costs affect your decision moving forward. My advice is wait until the fall and see if any OEM delivers a first class device then make your choice. Always remember that Windows Phone can message, chat and IM with iPhone users with no problem.
I don’t think of it as sunk costs. I like the apps I’ve bought. Period.
Spoken like someone who didn’t spend enough time wikipediaing sunk cost.
Lol Murani. That’s one thing I like about the environment you help provide here. I can feel okay about saying something really stupid now and then because in a few hours or so it will get washed over by you encouraging someone to go try the road not taken and to just do it and think of the stuff he already has and likes as write-offs trapping him into a world of mediocrity and no tile fruitiness.
I do need tiles though. How else would I see whats going on?
You gotta either exit your happenin’ party or stop skydiving for a minute or not get freaky with your lady who’s clearly in the mood just so you can look really closely at your phone and get engaged without all of life’s annoying distractions. That’s how else.
Ha Ha, clearly you’re happy with your Android and thats great just don’t play like Mango and the Nokia partnership doesn’t give Microsoft a legit shot at shaking things up. To deny that would indeed be delusional as Microsoft’s recent announcements have done nothing but showcase that they are all in when it comes to the mobile, cloud and desktop.
Work has been rather taxing so forgive me for not jumping on a few more threads today…
OK. First things first, WTF.
We all know that WP7 strength (much like Microsoft as a whole) is in it’s future. Licensing fees keeps the lights on, sure. The bill for the SQL server at my job alone is enough of an indicator of this for me. But you have to be damn joking if you think that Google is going to completely overtake the industry while everyone else fades into obscurity; or better yet that Microsoft is just going to crash and burn in this space.
Enough of all this, I gotta post something…
Oh yea, before I forget, the iOS announcement today further reiterates my point that OS’s like WebOS and WP7 are never too late to the party. That notification system, while better than what they have currently, it still looks like a pretty task manager for WM 6.5.x.
If the leaders go out and actively see what the marketplace is doing and react to it, then there is always room for new and innovative products.
BTW, I’m glad the slingo is starting to rub off on you all…I see articles and emails mentioning "birds" and "calling a spade a spade." *Mr. Burns Voice* Excellent.
Well what do you make of this Murani, what I call the bigger picture here: I flipped through my usual amount of news today, maybe five different sessions, and among the things I read was Apple stuff, Google stuff, some Israeli anti-RPG liquid metal spraying thing, China getting pissed at Google for getting pissed at China for hacking them again, a few more Apple things, what else, right, and an article, THREE articles actually about how Windows Phone wasn’t selling.
That’s the closest to Mango’s new features I got, some blurb Ralph Vega said about five hundred features and how a device from Nokia would be nice and Windows 8 is beautiful with fruity tiles, and that the sales sucked. And no my array of feeds is not weighted enough away from Microsoft to snuff out a big news item. I am abreast. I even have a Microsoft feed bundle which I give out here from time to time.
My point is, again, that no one cares about WP or Mango or all these hundreds of new features. In fact at the time of a great escalation in blogger excitement over the future (always with the future…) of Windows Phone sales dissipate depressingly enough that I don’t even want to write about it. But hey, no one’s going to stop you from riding around in your sunken ship underwater. Just make sure you take down all your coworkers and us too with you because that’s how nice a guy you are.
Why do you think substituting HTC and Samsung with Nokia will "shake things up" enough to prove me to be the delusional one? What is it about Nokia selling a phone or two (at the probable estrangement of the other OEMs) that you think will suddenly and finally usher this platform success? Don’t you fucking get it? It’s not going to happen.
Oh guess what asshole, I *still* haven’t seen one Windows Phone in the wild. And you know very well I go outside my share in a pretty dense city and take mass transit. Not just passively. Sometimes when I’m on the subway I tell myself Okay I’m gonna look at every single phone and try to find a match. Nope, iPhone, Nope, couple Androids, another iPhone, iPhone, hey, a Blackberry, Android, Android, iPhone…
I haven’t seen one yet either…..
you bastards wait till i can’t reply to leak this!!!! fk apple and google!!!! Microsoft will buy apple one day just to have a firm target to take a shit on!
You all check this out,
Apple is done, Android is confuse.
The biggest competition MSFT has are the phone manufacturers and carriers, I will mot elaborate cuz you all smart enough to get what I’m talking about…
Here’s my check list for Android and IOS..
Metro UI and apps (consistent)
Timely updates and no wp7 left behind.
I’m talking about the os here ok…..
Hardware specs?????????? I don’t think so…
Ey idoug can you please relax!!!!!!!!
Doug is the worst kind of dilusional fanboy. He can’t handle it when something other than his pet electronics comes up with better features. He buys his toys based on what everyone else does and then uses those number to back up his decision. He can’t think past his own bias.
Doug, get a clue, it doesn’t matter what everyone else does, you buy what you want because thats what you want and everyone else can stick it. You shove it in their face and say, you see this, I bought what you didn’t, and I don’t give a crap if you don’t like it or not. My money, my preference, my purchase. Get a clue, It’s not about 500 features, or whats around the bend, and it doesn’t matter if I’m the only one on the planet that decides to go in that direction. I’m happy and you can go take a flying leap into your happy little sesspool of self righteous BS.
Self-righteous? Where do you get that? I don’t think I’m morally or even technologically superior here, I just think I’m not as bad as Ramon is at predicting the future (or seeing the present for that matter).
I think you mean egomaniacal.
And you’re wrong, it does matter that the platform you use, whether it’s a phone thing or a car, is used by more people than yourself, somewhat. Though I did own WinMo and Android before either hit a ton of popularity. Also went for the unpopular carrier and bought the unpopular Google Nexus phones instead of the Droid and EVO and whatever else.
Ramon came out swinging here saying that Apple’s doomed because of some announced features of Windows Phone which struck me as fucking ridiculous so I took a swing back even though I’m the Google fanatic, not Apple (got that Ed?). That’s not self-righteous, that’s not delusional (hey at least you spelled past right); I’m just calling him out on something and making sure it’s on the record that he said that with such authority.
LOL at Microsoft buying Apple, and double lol at Ed. You’re just as big of a blind fanboy as Ramon 🙂 A negative market growth is not a good thing guys… it’s a very very bad thing.
Can anyone respond to my checklist????
@chris I dont consider myself a fan boy.. I just like being different and I like what MSFT did with the mobile platform… I have a droid x and a hd7… With 2.3 on my x, I can say that MSFT is not too far behind in so many levels..
MSFT can’t buy Apple there’s no way!!!!
@chris I like the way you talk about wp7, deep inside you, I know you want to jump ship….
Follow ur heart idoug.
Wow, this site is really going in the toilet. Everyone is starting to sound like Simmons about his or her platform of choice and that’s pathetic.
Oh Simmons, have you started training, lifting weights or something? Just because you’re probably physically pathetic as you are personally isn’t going to stop me from breaking your jaw.
Watch it yss. Physical threats are unwarranted and slightly ridiculous.
@Chris Leiter: But not something that you can’t rebound from. You can ask Apple that, or are we going to forget MicroSoft’s lil’ “investment” in Apple? Hell you can ask Microsoft that with regards to the Xbox (how many people assumed more of the same when the Xbox 360 came out and they were still hemorrhaging money due to low sales of the original Xbox?).
Simmons, only you would look to correct someone’s assumption that you are self-righteous by suggesting that they mean ego-maniacal. Maybe not just you. The more I think of it, the more I think it may be Tucker Max-like.
Depending how this work day goes, I may be able to post what I’ve been trying to write since yesterday regarding platforms and ecosystems. Glad you put an extra battery on my back with that comment.
@Chris Leiter: Chris != Simmons. But since you commented, I will reply. Simmons has a habit of calling people out with his stupid little articles. Cool, but don’t start lying to get attention. He wanted attention; he got it. Now he has to decide if I’m serious or not.
Okay this is all so familiar in so many ways. Doug and Chris and the rest of the drones that spew the same trash from blog to blog please remember some of us have been around long enough to have seen all this shit before. And it’s pretty obvious that you for whatever reason feel threatened. Not sure why, it’s an electronic device, but whatever. You see that MS is in fact running some sweet shit so what do you do? Sales, apps, sales, apps, sales, apps. No need to go into detail on why that’s horse shit, you and I both know that it is.
Before you continue to try to convince the world that MS is going to somehow fade away from this game please remember that they (in a way) started this game. The other 2 are in still competing with WM 6.X (Shit, Android is and really needs to not continue to be WM) And for whatever it’s worth people tried to call MS dead when the original Xbox couldn’t compete with the PS2.
I don’t give a damn about the xbox (love my PS3 though!) but even I know that calling MS dead in anything they set their sites on is kinda stupid.
I feel sorry for you, that you live in an urban environment full of trendy hipsters who chase each others’ tails on technology.
My neighbor across the street is not a tech guy in the slightest. He works at a place that sells accessories for off road vehicles. He has a Windows Phone.
I asked him why. His answer? “Everyone told me I had to have an iPhone, so I got one. My iPhone 4 kept crashing and locking up, and it was a pain. I was syncing it back up with iTunes twice a week. Since I got my Surround, I haven’t had a single issue, for months. It’s faster, and does everything I want. I gave my iPhone to my son, and he uses it as an iPod.”
Real person, real anecdote. And more of those people you see on the subway will come to realizations of their own, once they get past their Jobs worship and past the programming they get from Walt Mossberg.
My next phone will be a Windows Phone, and it will likely be Mango.
Ike@Ike: His iPhone 4 was locking up? I’ve had mine since day one. It has never once locked up. Syncing to iTunes twice a week?! What the hell for?! And why would anyone in their right mind demote a device you can sell for $500-700 to lowly iPod duty? that’s just silly and sounds completely fabricated.
@chris I dont think the story was fabricated, my co worker bought the iPhone 4 (white) since day 1 he had problems with the camera light not flashing,flickering,and not shutting off, he has too plug it and charge for it to be fix. He return and got a Android because the reps told him too…then he saw my hd7 then he said what is that?? I said its a windows phone, I let him played with it, he saw the Xbox games live tiles, fbook integration he found the os so cool next day he exchange the phone for a TROPHY…and he’s loving it.
Why would you buy an iPhone for 500to700???? That’s just plain stupid!!!!
You can buy the same iPhone on eBay for 100 bucks I mean the same counterfeit phone..
China is making a lot of this fake iPhones on eBay…
Nothing fabricated about it.